Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.529391e-05 4.228163e-05 0.000050 0.000059 0.000068 0.000079 0.000091
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.673742e-05 3.559184e-05 0.000046 0.000058 0.000073 0.000090 0.000110
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.012928e-05 2.958736e-05 0.000041 0.000056 0.000075 0.000096 0.000123
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.553132e-05 2.511767e-05 0.000038 0.000054 0.000076 0.000102 0.000135
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.267422e-05 2.238481e-05 0.000036 0.000054 0.000079 0.000110 0.000149
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.003723e-05 1.947438e-05 0.000033 0.000053 0.000080 0.000114 0.000160
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.006095e-06 1.709001e-05 0.000031 0.000052 0.000081 0.000119 0.000171
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.290806e-06 1.487465e-05 0.000029 0.000050 0.000082 0.000123 0.000180
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.771558e-06 1.266788e-05 0.000026 0.000048 0.000081 0.000125 0.000187
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.478256e-06 1.055720e-05 0.000024 0.000046 0.000079 0.000126 0.000191
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.621037e-06 9.086967e-06 0.000022 0.000044 0.000079 0.000128 0.000198
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.396714e-06 8.968311e-06 0.000022 0.000046 0.000084 0.000138 0.000216
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.610810e-06 7.428789e-06 0.000020 0.000045 0.000085 0.000143 0.000229
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.120921e-06 6.399011e-06 0.000019 0.000045 0.000088 0.000151 0.000246
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.685838e-07 5.138191e-06 0.000017 0.000043 0.000088 0.000155 0.000258
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.815810e-07 4.149612e-06 0.000016 0.000041 0.000088 0.000159 0.000270
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.342412e-07 3.569167e-06 0.000015 0.000041 0.000090 0.000167 0.000287
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.170943e-07 2.898975e-06 0.000014 0.000040 0.000091 0.000172 0.000300
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.170741e-08 2.358621e-06 0.000013 0.000039 0.000092 0.000177 0.000313
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.669318e-08 1.866601e-06 0.000011 0.000038 0.000092 0.000181 0.000325
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.372787e-09 1.398071e-06 0.000010 0.000036 0.000091 0.000183 0.000333
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.083458e-12 9.851924e-07 0.000009 0.000034 0.000089 0.000183 0.000339
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 7.266687e-07 0.000008 0.000033 0.000088 0.000186 0.000349